I have been sharing a lot about technical analysis lately however today I want to share another approach I use in the markets.
The below is a write up we sent out on June 30th, 2025 to our members. Moving forward we will be posting them here as well for subscribers. Read over it as this is a model you can use for picking stocks moving forward.
Begin Alert":
“Yet again, Elon Musk is giving us free alpha:
The clean energy market is in flux as we don’t know if clean energy subsidies are going to be packed into the Big Beautiful Bill upon reconciliation.
Wall Street thinks that you need to subsidize solar and battery tech, but I think that ship has sailed.
It’s the electrons arms race. AI hyperscalers need access to as many electrons as they can get their hands on. Sure, you can build nuclear and coal plants, but those take time. Meanwhile, solar farms can be quickly stood up right next to an AI server cluster.
But you need batteries. The problem with intermittent energy is that it’s, well… intermittent. Texas learned this the hard way a few years back when ERCOT failed due to an overreliance on wind energy.
Our stock pick today is Fluence Energy, ticker FLNC. This was once a high-flyer in energy storage, but it has been in a crushing bear market, capped off with a gap down on February as they threw the baby out with the bathwater.
They missed revenue by 50%, guided down, and governance questions are coming to light. Yet into that bloodbath insiders started buying.
The CEO put down $200k since the gap down. The CFO buys in 100k. Then there were several directors with multiple buys.
What are they seeing that Wall Street has missed?
The company reported earnings in May, and dropped guidance citing tariff uncertainty. Which feels like a copout and just giving company leadership some wiggle room with their future numbers.
Yet here’s the kicker. We don’t have to wait for AI trends to accelerate. The company picked up orders of $200MM, which puts the total order backlog at $4.9B.
They also have $3 of cash per share on a $7 stock, although they do have a decent amount of leverage.
The technicals have drastically improved. The average buyer since the crush is now in the green, and we are seeing a 20/50 EMA crossover signaling that we aren’t catching a knife.
The AI-Solar-Battery story is just getting started, and insiders know this, which is why we’re putting out a buy alert today.
Action To Take
Stock Trade:
Buy to Open FLNC stock at 6.83, try not to pay more than $7. If you want to scale in, look for the retest of $6 to add to the position.
If the stock closes under 3.40, we will take the loss.
Option Trade:
Buy to Open FLNC Jan 2026 $10 Call for 1.05. The bid/ask is 1.00 x 1.10 so that is a reasonable fill.
We will run full risk on the call options.”
Why It Ran — And Why Following Insiders Gave Us the Edge
Since our call, the move in FLNC has been textbook: the first leg kicked off around June 17 and the second surge picked up steam roughly September 19. The catalyst? The company reported a hefty ~$508.8 million in order intake in Q3 FY2025 and backed that up by raising its backlog to ~$4.9 billion as of June 30. Further, management noted that more than $2.5 billion of revenue was now locked in for FY2026, creating far greater visibility into the business.
But here’s the part you don’t hear from most newsletters — the insiders were already buying while the market was ignoring the story. For example: director Cynthia A. Arnold purchased 33,000 shares on May 12 2025 at about ~$5.90/share. There have been multiple insider purchases with almost no major insider selling in the same period.
Why does that matter? Because without tracking what insiders are doing, you’d have been in the dark — the market had largely written off FLNC as a beaten-down energy-storage play. But insiders are in the room every day, seeing the growing backlog, seeing the global demand, and acting accordingly. When the story finally surfaced to the broader market (June onward), the move was already set. We got in ahead because we were watching the signal behind the noise.
This is exactly how the edge works — not chasing what everyone else knows already, but catching what they’re about to learn.
🔥 Want to see the next one before it runs?
This is exactly what we do inside our paid newsletter, where we track the smartest money in the market — the insiders. Here is an opportunity I posted on Tuesday of this week.